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#25 Virginia Tech (18-7, 8-3 ACC) at North Carolina State (13-11, 3-8)

Sunday, February 18, 2007, 4:00

TV: Raycom/Lincoln Financial split (click here for stations)

Special Preview Items:

On Sunday afternoon, Virginia Tech will head back to the Tar Heel state to play a game that could potentially put them back in first place in the ACC. However, it's going to be a tough task. NC State beat Virginia Tech back on January 31, handing the Hokies their only loss in Cassell Coliseum this season. If Tech wants to beat the Wolfpack this time, they need to bring more intensity than they did back in January.

If UNC knocks off Boston College on Saturday, and the Hokies win on Sunday, that will put Tech, UNC and possibly UVA into a three-way tie for first place in the conference, with the Hokies holding the tiebreaker over both schools.

However, Virginia Tech needs to take care of business against NC State. The Wolfpack embarrassed the Hokies 70-59 in Blacksburg earlier in the year. At that point, Tech was all alone in first place, while NC State was in the cellar. That game proved that any team in the ACC can beat any other on any given day.

NC State will likely use the same starting lineup that they used against the Hokies back in January.

NC State Starting Lineup
Pos Player Ht Wt Year Pts Rebs
G Engin Atsur 6-4 200 Sr. 11.1 3.4
G Courtney Fells 6-5 194 So. 11.7 4.1
F Gavin Grant 6-7 212 Jr. 15.2 5.2
F Brandon Costner 6-8 230 r-Fr. 16.7 7.8
F Ben McCauley 6-9 235 So. 15.9 6.6


NC State's starters all average at least 32.2 minutes per game, and four of the five starters are in the top seven in the ACC in minutes played. Point guard Engin Atsur, who plays 32.2 minutes, would definitely be in the top seven as well, had he not missed half the season with a hamstring injury. He still isn't 100%.

NC State is a much better team with Atsur in the lineup. As soon as they got him back full-time from his hamstring injury, the Wolfpack knocked off Virginia Tech and UNC in back-to-back games. However, their injuries and lack of depth off the bench could be catching up to them.

According to the Raleigh News and Observer's Chip Alexander, this is how the NC State locker room looked following their 85-70 loss to Maryland on Wednesday night:



Tell them you saw their ad on TechSideline.com!

"N.C. State's Ben McCauley had an ice pack on his left foot while Gavin Grant iced down his left knee. Engin Atsur has a sore hamstring, Courtney Fells a sore tailbone and Dennis Horner a sore nose."

NC State, already a team with no depth, now appears to be picking up the injury bug. Courtney Fells had a hard fall in the 80-65 loss at Miami over the weekend, and played just 19 minutes against Maryland. Fells was so sore that he had trouble elevating on jumpers, and couldn't move well enough to play defense against Maryland's guards, who like to take the ball to the basket.

Virginia Tech's first goal for this game should be denying the ball to the post. In their first meeting with NC State, the Wolfpack repeatedly got the ball inside to Ben McCauley, who has outstanding back-to-the-basket moves and finishes well. McCauley is a great passer, perhaps the best on his team. He has 82 assists on the year, a great number for a man his size. NC State runs their offense around getting the ball to him in the post. If Tech denies him the ball, they will take NC State out of their offense.

The Hokies have done a great job denying Tyler Hansbrough the ball in two meetings with UNC, and they need to bring that same defensive intensity to Raleigh on Sunday.

NC State's other inside player, Brandon Costner, is very dangerous. Costner is a former McDonald's All-American who has a very unique skill set for a power forward. He's a left-hander who has deep range on his three-pointer. Costner is shooting 34.8% from the outside this season, and his 40 three-pointers are more than any other player on the team. He can also put the ball on the floor and drive to the basket, preferring to go to his left because he is left-handed.

NC State has two dangerous wings in Gavin Grant and Courtney Fells. Both are long, lengthy players who like to drive to the basket and pull up for jump shots. Grant in particular has a very good mid-range game. He isn't a great three-point shooter at 31% on the year, but he will knock down the open shot if the defender gives him space.

Engin Atsur is a very experienced point guard who is the key to NC State's offense. If he is playing and feeling good, the Wolfpack can take it to another level. However, he still isn't quite back to full health, and his stamina is not where it has been in the past. Tech needs to attack him offensively. Defensively, don't lose him. He is a very effective stand-still three-point shooter.

NC State vs. Virginia Tech (ACC Games Only)

Category
NC State Virginia Tech
Stat ACC Rank Stat ACC Rank
FG % 46.6% 6 46.7% 5
FG % Defense 46.5% 7 42.8% 3
3-Pt. % 35.4% 4 37.8% 2
3-Pt. % Defense 38.2% 11 30.0% 2
FT % 72.6% 5 72.2% 6
Rebounding Margin -5.1 10 -3.8 9
Turnover Margin -3.82 12 +1.82 2
Assist/TO Ratio 0.86 9 1.16 2
Scoring Offense 68.3 11 74 4
Scoring Defense 75.4 10 72.5 6
Average   8.5   4.1


Virginia Tech needs to control the tempo in this game. Back in January, NC State was able to dictate tempo to the Hokies. They kept the game to a slow-paced, half court style. This time, the Hokies need to get out and run against NC State, who is a below average team athletically. If they make it a fast paced game, the Wolfpack will be at a major disadvantage. It could also cause them to wear out late in the game.

In their last two games, NC State has shown that they could possibly be wearing down in the latter part of the season. They trailed Maryland by just two at halftime, and the game was tied at 44 at one point in the second half. The Terps then pulled away for an 85-70 win. Two games ago against Miami, the Canes led by just three at halftime before winning 80-65. And finally, three games ago against Georgia Tech, NC State led 43-35 at halftime before being outscored 39-22 in the second half. GT came back to win 74-65.

Overall, NC State has been outscored by an average of 44-30 in the second half in their past three games. They have allowed 46 points or more in the second half in two of those games. Also, NC State is shooting just 38.1% in the second half in the past three games. Poor defense and a low shooting percentage are generally good indicators that a team is tired. They aren't elevating on their shots, and they don't have the legs to move on defense.

If the Hokies are running the Wolfpack up and down the court in the early going on Sunday, that's a good sign.

Bourbonstreet's View

#18 RPI Virginia Tech @ #125 NC State:

The NC State Wolfpack hoopsters have only won three of their last ten games and are in need of about four more wins if State wants to play any postseason hoops this spring. So this is a wounded-animal kinda road game to me. The Wolfpack is dangerous, and they basically had their way with the Hokies last time out. But who will win this time?

Back on January 31st, State held Tech's shooting down to a season low 35% from the floor and dialed up their rebounding effort, climbing all over the Cassell Coliseum glass for a +13 rebounding margin edge. That was really surprising to me. I did not expect to see the 317th ranked offensive rebounding team take over in our house like that, but State's top-8 ballers all go 6-4 or better in height, and State is proficient when they slow the tempo of the game down. That allows their very tall hoops team to congest the middle, play patiently and wait for a quality look to develop in their high-low half-court set.

Now check this little nugget out ... in Tech's 7 L's on the year, the Hokies made 47.16% of their shots vs. the six teams that beat them not named NC State. So "yes" State's modified stall-ball is not an ideal matchup for VT. They might even be the one ACC team that just happens to have Seth's number this year.

But State is 270th in defending the three, and the Hokies enjoy a 161-spot edge in turnovers, a 247-spot edge in steals, and a 72-spot edge in blocks. That's a lotta potential extra possessions, and that's how Seth Greenberg wins games. So we do have a legit chance to win, and I really enjoyed seeing a fiery, you will not back me down 'tude on display last Tuesday night down in Chapel Hill.

NC State has depth problems as well, with four ballers playing 34 minutes or more, and all five starters checking in at 32 minutes or more. That is indeed a lot of wear and tear, and wear and tear leads to fatigue.

Virginia Tech 71, North Carolina State 68