Beerman’s Picks
By Ben Shapiro, 10/03/02
Each week this season, I will be posting
a column previewing the upcoming weekend's Big East and Top-25 match-ups.
All rankings are from the
ESPN/USA Today Coaches Poll . I don't pick winners (that's too easy),
I pick against
the spread .
All picks are for entertainment purposes only.
Last Week: Another one bites the
dust. Another one bites the dust. And another one gone,
and another one gone. Another one bites the dust. Thank
you Louiseville. All is not forgiven, but your assistance is noted.
This Week: Down time. There
are some interesting dust-ups around the country, as conference play
rolls into week two. Thursday night should be a dandy, and the
Pac-10 and Big-10 races should begin to sort themselves out.
Not in Action: #4 Virginia Tech,
#13 Michigan, #14 N.C. State, #18 Iowa State, #24 Auburn
Thursday, October 3
7:30 pm EST
ESPN
Clemson
3-1 (Away: 0-1)
-14
Florida State (#11)
4-1 (Home: 2-0)
Bowden
Bowl IV, and it's in priiiiiiiiime time baybee!
There's a new wrinkle here tho.
Clemson has a defense. A real one with guys who can tackle
and everything! Wild stuff. They only lost once,
to #6 Georiga. By three points. In Athens.
That ain't bad.
And Florida State is wounded. Or at least they look
that way. Now unless Lili takes a real sudden turn, the
weather shouldn't be a factor tonight. Maybe that means
Greg Jones will be able to run. Maybe that means Chris
Rix won't have any passes slip out of his hands funny.
Call me crazy, but I have a hard
time thinking about Florida State losing two in a row.
Pick: Clemson
Friday, October 4
8:00 pm EST
ESPN
-6
Colorado State (#22)
4-1 (Away: 3-1)
Fresno State
2 -3
(Home: 1-0)
All
this good football them Rams are playing, and only once so far
at home. If I were a fan. I'd feel cheated! This
is one reason home games are important. It really sucks
to have all your good games on the road.
Pick: CSU
Saturday, October 5
7:00 pm EST
Gameplan
Connecticut
2-3 (Away: 1-1)
-44
Miami (FL) (#1)
4-0 (Home: 2-0)
It's
like my friend says, take the two-team parlay. Tease Miami
up to 50, and Oregon down to 2. Take UConn and the Ducks
and laugh all the way to the bank.
Pick: UConn
12:30 pm EST
Fox Sports Net
Oklahoma State
2-2 (Away: 0-1)
-24.5
Texas (#2)
4-0 (Home: 2-0)
In
baseball, there are players known as "5 o'clock heros".
A 5 o'clock hero is the guy who shows up for batting practice
(5:00 pm for a night game, get it?) looking like a monster.
Sweet swing, crushing the ball to all fields on every pitch.
Then when it comes time for the real game, against real pitchers
throwing real pitches, and in front of real fans, our 5 o'clock
hero turns into mush. To
this point in his career, Chris Simms is a 5 o'clock hero.
Lucky for him, Oklahoma State
is just batting practice. Seven o'clock doesn't come around
until next week.
Pick: Texas
7:00 pm EST
Fox Sports Net
-13.5
Oklahoma (#3)
4-0 (Away: 1-0)
Missouri
3 -1
(Home: 2-0)
Missouri
is a sham. 3-1 against a weak schedule and thumped by
Bowling Green to the tune of 51-28. None of this nonsense
about "knowing how to win" either. If Oklahoma isn't able
to beat these guys by at least 3 TDs, they're going to have
big trouble next week against the 'Horns.
Pick: Oklahoma
7:00 pm EST
ESPN2
-25
Ohio State (#5)
5 -0
(Away: 1-0)
Northwestern
2 -3
(Home: 1-1)
Maurice
Clarett comes back, and Ohio State rolls.
Shocker.
Pick: tOSU
3:30 pm EST
CBS
Georgia (#6)
4-0 (Away: 1-0)
-3.5
Alabama
4-1 (Home: 3-0)
This
was going to be my upset pick. Silly me, I expected the nation's #6 team to be a favorite against unranked opposition,
even on the road. Shows what I know!Maybe it's just
popular reaction to NCAA sanctions, but I find it somewhat absurd
that Alabama is not ranked in the top 25. They hung tough
with Oklahoma, and have handed Southern Miss and Arkansas their
only losses to date. I figure Bama at around #15 or so
in my book.
Georgia is an interesting case.
They've won a couple of tough games (Clemson and @ USC) but
not in very impressive fashion. Their defense is good,
their offense is not. And I'm not talking about merely
unbalanced as VT's can be. No, Georgia's offense is just
plain bad. Playing on the road against Alabama is as much
of a test for Georgia as it is for the Tide. Given their
lofty ranking, it may be even more of one.
Now, since Bama's favored, I
have to pick Georgia.
Pick: Georgia
10:00 pm EST
Fox Sports Net
-8
Oregon (#7)
4-0 (Away: 0-0)
Arizona
3-1 (Home: 3-0)
Oregon's
first trek outside the cozy confines of Outzen Stadium.
And 'Zona's unbeaten at home. Could this be trouble?
No, I don't think so. Arizona
got whupped by the only good team they've faced, and struggled
in wins over Utah and North Texas. And their starting
tailback is out with an injury. Unless they've been playing
possum, Oregon should handle the 'Cats with ease.
Ducks in a waddleover.
Pick: Oregon
12:00 pm EST
CBS
-13
Florida (#8)
4-1 (Away: 1-0)
Mississippi
3-1 (Home: 3-0)
The
thing about Florida is that they're still learning. Ron
Zook, primarily, is still learning what it takes to be a I-A
head coach. So they got smacked by Miami. And their
special teams almost cost them a game against Kentucky.
They've got a ton of talent, but they will likely drop one or
two more this year while Zook learns how to coach, and while
the players learn how to run his system. There's nothing
wrong with that. Most of the nation would love
to win 8 or 9 games in a transition year.
Number 5 comes today. But
it won't be easy.
Pick: Ole Miss
2:30 pm EST
NBC
Stanford
1 -2
(Away: 0-2)
-7.5
Notre Dame (#9)
4-0 (Home: 2-0)
The
South Bend Willinghams aim for their fifth straight victory,
as they host the Palo Alto Willinghams, fresh off a 65-24 pasting
at the hands of the Tempe Not-Willinghams. Will it be
Holliday or will it be Dillingham running the Irish offensive
machine? We'll see...
Pick: Cardinal
7:45 pm EST
ESPN
Arkansas
2-1 (Away: 0-0)
-11
Tennessee (#10)
3-1 (Home: 3-1)
Sure
Tennessee had trouble against Rutgers. But then again,
nobody runs on Rutgers!
Pick: Vols
3:30 pm EST
California
3-2 (Away: 1-0)
-12
Washington (#12)
3-1 (Home: 3-0)
3-0
to 3-2, and now probably to 3-3. Hey Cal, it was fun while
it lasted eh?
Pick: UDub
3:30 pm EST
ABC, Gameplan
Penn State (#21)
3-1 (Away: 0-0)
-2
Wisconsin (#15)
5-0
(Home: 4-0)
It's
a wonder that Port Chester University even plays against Penn
State anymore. You'd think that picking on someone like
JoePa would smack of ageism. And that might offend
some of them Whooping Cranes. On the other hand, maybe they
plan on laying down and just letting him win.
Can't pick it. Both teams
have been up and down all year, though the Cranes have thus
far been able to avoid actually losing. So why not?
I'll pick the home team.
Pick: PCU
3:30 pm EST
ABC, Gameplan
-3.5
Kansas State (#16)
4-0 (Away: 0-0)
Colorado
2-2 (Home: 1-2)
Now
that they're safely out of the MNC hunt, it's time for Colorado
to start getting serious about football. They're working
with a backup quarterback the rest of the way, but took down
a fairly unimpressive UCLA team in their last contest.
That same UCLA team that slapped Colorado State around.
That same Colorado State that slapped the Buffs around.
Gotta love it :O)
Pick: KSU
7:00 pm EST
TBS
-3.5
Southern California (#20)
3-1 (Away: 1-1)
Washington State (#17)
4-1 (Home: 3-0)
Southern
Cal has themselves a tight defense. Finally. I mean
how many Carson "NFL prototype" Palmer INTs did it take before
they figured out they needed one of those? No matter,
they've got one now. Still,
I don't like road favorites against higher-ranked teams.
Wazzou's QB looked reasonably healthy last week, and should
be even better after 7 more days to rest. This is not
Ohio State. WSU sees the Trojan defensive scheme every
year, and should have some idea how to exploit it. If
the Cougars have aspirations for a serious bowl game, they're
going to have to win this one.
Pick: WSU
8:00 pm EST
ppv
Louisiana-Lafayette
1-3 (Away: 0-2)
-28
LSU (#19)
3-1 (Home: 3-0)
Bustle's
Boyz roulez on into LSU for anther body bag game.
Sorry Rickey, I'm grateful for some
good years and all, but I gotta pull for the favorite here.
You understand right? It's just business...
Pick: LSU
2:00 pm EST
Texas Tech
3-2 (Away: 2-1)
-6.5
Texas A&M (#23)
3-1 (Home: 2-1)
This
game is actually somewhat dangerous for Texas A&M. Texas
Tech runs a nasty spread offense, and is capable of putting
points on the board. Their defense leaves something to
be desired, but I'm not so sure aTm can really take advantage
of that ... no matter who's calling the plays this week.
We'll find out a lot about just how good the Aggies "D" is here.
Texas Tech is probably a better offensive team than anyone they've
faced to date. Of course,
my theory is that a solid defense will shut down a gimmick offense.
And in my book the Spread is a gimmick offense.
Pick: Ags
3:00 pm EST
Navy
1-3 (Away: 1-0)
-22.5
Air Force
4-0 (Home: 2-0)
Can
someone give me a reasonable explanation for why Air Force is
so consistently competitive, while Army and Navy are pretty
much lousy 9 years out of 10? I mean besides Fisher
DeBerry?
Pick: AFA
12:00 pm EST
ESPN2
Maryland
3 -2
(Away: 0-0)
-3
West Virginia
3-1 (Home: 2-0)
Well
Avon Coburne pretty much blasted right through a whole bunch
of rushing records last week against East Carolina. And
as a team, West Virginia beat our single game Big East
rushing record. I note this because it gives us a goal
to aim for when we play them a month from now. Strut your
stuff today dastardly Mountaineers, and make soup of the turtle
... Your judgment shall come, and that right soon.
Pick: WVU
12:00 pm EST
ESPN+
Pittsburgh
4-1 (Away: 1-0)
-1
Syracuse
1-3 (Home: 1-1)
That's
the best darn 1-3 team in the nation right there in Syracuse!
Honestly though, I'm pulling for
the Pitts. The Big East needs more than two entries in
the top-25, and it would be nice if the Panthers and/or Boston
College could pull out an 8 or 9 win season. Hell, maybe
even West Virginia. Having dropped 3 OOC, I'm forced to
throw in the towel on the Cuse. The last thing we need
is them coming in 3rd in the conference at 7-5.
But then I read that UPitt has
not beaten Syracuse ever since the Big East was formed.
*yuck*
Pick: Cuse
Last Week: 12-10 (YTD: 61-56-3)
TV Game of the Week: Georgia - Alabama
Upset Special: Washington State
over Southern Cal (YTD: 4-3)