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BEERMAN'S
PICKS FOR WEEK 2
- by Beerman, posted 9/2/99
Each week this season, I will be posting a
column previewing the upcoming weekend's Big East and Top-25 matchups. All rankings are
from the AP Poll. Picks are against the spread, and are for
entertainment purposes only
Last Week: Arizona was the first pretender exposed, and Miami may very well be
back. This is a good thing.
This week: And they're off !
Not in action: #1 Florida State, #13 Ohio State, #19 Kansas State
THURSDAY 9/2
Big East Games:
Syracuse (-13.5) @ TOLEDO
Year One A.D. (After Donovan) in upstate New York. Think
mebee the scheduled their opener in Ohio so that Madei Williams won't have to hear about
it right away if he screws up? Don't forget, not only did they lose McNabb, but they lost
they're top WR and fullback extraodinare Rob Konrad. Furthermore, the bulk of their
offensive coaching staff now winters in South Bend, Indiana. Luckily, Coach Paul
Pasquilousy is still around to muck it up. Toledo is usually one of the better teams in
the MAC, and should not be taken lightly. Every year a few big name schools get surprised
by an upstart MAC team, (a pain we know all too well) and the Orange does not have a
recent history of stellar early season performances. Also, after Miami took down the
Buckeyes, the Big East is due for a little humiliation.
Pick: The Rockets
TEMPLE (+5) vs. Maryland
What's there to say? Nothing quite like starting the season
out with a resounding "THUD". It would be nice if Temple were to actually win
this game, but hoping for it to happen just isn't worth the effort.
Pick: UMud
SATURDAY 9/4
Top-25 Games:
#2 PENN STATE (-44) vs. Akron
So it appears that JoePa has an offense this year.
Uh-oh
Pick: Penn State
#3 TENNESSEE (-24) vs. Wyoming
Think the Vols could be upset about dropping in the
rankings without even having played yet? I do. Wyoming is no pushover, and are the rarest
of all breeds
a WAC team (sorry MWC) with an honest-to-God defense. Twenty-three
points actually gives me pause for thought, especially in an opening game. Largely intact
from last year's title run, Tennessee should take this one with ease, but 23 could be a
bit much.
Pick: Tennessee
#4 FLORIDA (-36.5) vs. Western
Michigan
My rule of thumb about 30 point spreads does not apply in
the case of Steve Superior and games against MAC opponents
even decent MAC opponents.
Pick: Florida
#5 Nebraska (-22) @ IOWA
When Hayden Fry retired from Iowa after last year, he
didn't just leave the cupboard bare, he demolished the entire kitchen. Things are not
going to be much fun in Hawkeye land for a few years yet. Nebraska is one thing that they
were not for most of last year
healthy. Frank Solich has to make a statement this
year, to make up for the almost unforgivable sin of losing 4 games last year. He will.
Pick: Nebraska
#6 Texas A&M (-14.5) @ LOUISIANA
TECH
Yeah, yeah
I know
LaTech only managed a
single touchdown against Florida State. But that was Florida State. Unfortunately for the
Techsters, this is Texas A&M. The Aggies are not on par with the 'Noles, so 41-7
probably won't happen, but they should handle the Bulldogs pretty easily.
Pick: aTm
#7 MICHIGAN (-7) vs. #16 Notre
Dame
You know it's a storied rivalry when Burger King is
plugging the game in their commercials. There isn't much I can say that could do
this series justice, so I'll be brief. The Irish looked very good against Kansas last
weekend, and could be trouble if this offense is for real. Michigan has not had the
benefit of a game under their belts yet. Advantage: Notre Dame
Pick: Fighting Irish
#8 MIAMI (FL) (off) vs. Florida
A&M
Miami looked to be "back" on Sunday. They'll be
even more back against FAMU. Not trying to disparage FAMU, but the best thing about their
football program is the marching band. No betting line vs. I-AA teams, just picking
winners here.
Pick: Canes
#9 WISCONSIN (off) vs. Murray
State
We like Wisconsin. They think they've got realistic MNC
aspirations, and they've got an even weaker non-conference schedule than we do. I'll go on
record right now as saying that Ron Dayne will not break Ricky Williams rushing
record this year.
Pick: Badgers
#10 Georgia Tech (-19) @ NAVY
Yup, sounds about right.
Pick: Georgia Tech
#11 VIRGINIA TECH (off) vs. James
Madison
It's go time baybee !
Pick: HOKIES !
#12 GEORGIA (-27.5) vs. Utah
State
Yeesh! I'm happier playing JMU. As football crazed as some
of these SEC fans are, I can't imagine anyone being too excited for this one. Even the
players, which is why I'm going to pick USU to cover
nah
Pick: Georgia
#14 COLORADO (-13) vs. Colorado
State, at Denver, CO
Last year showed that even when CSU is good, they can't hold a candle to the
Buffaloes. I suspect that UC is overrated, a product of Gary Barnett hype and a bowl
victory over defense-optional Oregon. I doubt that this game will dispel that myth,
however. There are some intra-state rivalries where you can throw out the records, but
this is not one of them.
Pick: Colorado
#15 ARIZONA (-13.5) @ Texas
Christian
Really, Arizona is not (should not be) as bad as they
looked against Penn State. Of course, lots of teams look foolish when Paterno has months
to prepare a game plan against them. Now, the question is how much will this affect them
this week. TCU was a pretty decent team last year, and should be improved a bit for '99.
If the Wildcats run a few tackling drills this week in practice, and can play angry
instead of upset, then they should take this one. If they don't
well, 0-2 is not a
good way to start the season.
Pick: Arizona
#17 UCLA (-29.5) vs. Boise
State
So Boise State plays their games on blue Astroturf. No lie.
No wonder they can't attract quality players. Well, that and the whole middle of nowhere
thing
Pick: UCLA
#18 Arkansas (-14) @ SOUTHERN
METHODIST
Not a clue. I've got nothing here. Arkansas was somewhat of
a surprise last year, but they've lost a few players. SMU is
well
they're not
the 1-10 Mustangs of a few years ago, but they're closer to that than to "The Best
Team Money Can Buy". In Dallas, I think SMU covers but ultimately loses.
Pick: SMU
#20 Alabama (-16.5) @ VANDERBILT
Vanderbilt is what's known as the "soft
underbelly" of an SEC schedule. Alabama is on the rise, and should contend in the
relatively weak SEC West. Sometimes a 38-7 whupping is good for you.
Pick: Alabama
#21 Southern Cal (-27) @ HAWAII
18 and counting. Hawaii's losing streak will not stop this
on this day. If you must lose, however, it's gotta be more fun doing in Hawaii than in
Kent, Ohio. Sluggish after one too many mai-tais the night before, USC will
"only" win by 18.
Pick: Hawaii
#22 Purdue (-17) @ CENTRAL
FLORIDA
One step forward, two steps back. Sans Dante, UCF will
start out the season 0-1. With Florida, Georgia Tech, and Georgia to follow in weeks 2, 3,
and 4 respectively, they will be 0-4 before they can even seriously think about winning a
ballgame. Joe Tiller has Purdue pointed in the right direction, and with Drew Brees at the
helm, I'd be surprised if they didn't knock off at least one of the Big Ten heavies this
year.
Pick: Purdue
#23 Wahoo State (+2.5) @ NORTH
CAROLINA
With loss here, Cavaliers likely headed for 0-11 on the
season.
Pick: North Carolina
#24 NC STATE (-8.5) vs. South
Carolina
NC State is not a top-25 team, not yet, not unless they can
get those three punt blocks in every game. Then again, they should be better offensively
than they were against Texas. South Carolina is just plain bad, and ole' Lou has
got quite a job in front of him. In a game that means nothing outside of the Carolinas, NC
Sate should cover here.
Pick: NC State
Other Big East Games:
West Virginia (-6) vs. East
Carolina at Charlotte, NC
And so it begins. Games like this are the ones that will make or break the Big
East's OOC record. No one cares about the scrub teams, and it won't be a huge
disappointment if FSU topples Miami. If we're to gain national respect for the conference,
the mid-level teams must beat the mid-level teams from other conferences. It's as simple
as that. Now, I know all about how much talent WVU has lost since last year, but even with
all that talent they couldn't win many games. Sometimes less talented teams rally together
and play better than the sum of their parts. I don't know much about ECU, on the other
hand, since they've become mired in the swamp that is CUSA. An experienced quarterback is
a plus though, so I'm giving the nod to the 'Eers.
Pick: WVU
BOSTON COLLEGE (-5.5) vs. Baylor
Actually, I'm at a loss here. I don't really have much to say
about this game. Go Eagles!
Pick: Boston College
Rutgers (+18) @ CALIFORNIA
Another sleeper, Cal returns something like 18 starters
from a competitive (if not terribly good) '98 squad. RUTSgers won 5 games last year, but
got blown out by everyone who had any talent. Still, beating Temple, UPitt, etc
is
step in the right direction, and is good for the Big East.
Pick: Rutgers
PITTSBURGH (-7.5) vs. Bowling
Green
It's the Pitts vs. Boring Green. UPitt has been picked last
in the Big East by more than one pundit, and yet they're still favored by 8. This says
something about Bowling Green. Lets just hope it doesn't say that BG is underrated.
Pick: Bowling Green
MONDAY 9/6
Top-25 Games:
#25 ARIZONA STATE (-6.5) vs. Texas
Tech
Monday night college ball. No sir, I don't like it. I'll
let it slide, because the NFL hasn't started yet, but I can't say that I care much for it.
AZ State is supposed to be pretty good. Of course, they were supposed to be pretty good
last year too, and that didn't pan out very well. Texas Tech is rotten, however, and I'm
not talking about talent. Spike Dykes runs a dirty program, and doesn't care much for the
academic side of college football. I don't think too much of that either. All other things
being equal, I pick against the Red Raiders every time.
Pick: Arizona State
Game of the Week to Watch: I abhor Notre Dame,
so I'm going to say UVA/UNC.
Upset Special: Notre Dame over Michigan (*ouch*)
Last Week: 2-3 (Hey, I don't get no training camp!)
Season to Date: 2-3
Upset Special: 1-0 |