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BEERMAN'S PICKS FOR WEEK 5
By Beerman - posted 9/23/99

Each week this season, I will be posting a column previewing the upcoming weekend's Big East and Top-25 match-ups. All rankings are from the ESPN/USA Today Coaches Poll. Picks are against the spread, and are for entertainment purposes only

Last Week: This is why I don't bet real money on football. 4-19 is not a good week for the Beerman. As bad a weekend as it was for the Big East, we can take solace in the fact that it was even worse for the PAC-10. USC and Oregon State are the only undefeated P-10 teams left, and they both scraped by inferior competition over the weekend … who's putting the dog in the BcS this year?

This week: Vick gets introduced to the country on ESPN primetime. And if you've ever wondered about the validity of a preseason poll, think about how it only took four games for the pollsters to realize that they were wrong about Notre Dame and Arizona.

Not in action: #12 Georgia Tech


THURSDAY 9/23

Top-25 Games:

#8 VIRGINIA TECH (-12.5) vs. Clemson

Bowden Schmowden. Is Clemson improved from last year? Yes. Will we beat them by a score of 37-0 again? No. Will we go into the tank on National TV? No. We're going to win this one, and we're going to win it rather handily. Clemson will score some points, but no more than 20…and that's me being generous.

#8 and rising … go Hokies!!

Pick: Virginia Tech


SATURDAY 9/25

Top-25 Games:

#1 Florida State (-19) @ NORTH CAROLINA

FSU was one of the few teams that I picked correctly last week. That makes me happy. North Carolina (in general) does not make me happy. Even at Chapel Hill, FSU should be able to pretty much name their score in this one. Torbush will not be long lived as a head coach.

Pick: F$U

#3 PENN STATE (-26) vs. Indiana

And yet another team is the beneficiary of a questionable coaching decision made by Butch Davis. Typical! Indiana can score lots of points. They can also give up lots of points. I think we all know how this one should end up. The only thing is, I don't like 26 point spreads over teams with good firepower.

Pick: Indiana

#3 Florida (-20) @ KENTUCKY

Florida's defense stepped up in a big way against Tennessee. They'll have to do it again against a Couchless Kentucky team which is still very capable of lighting up the scoreboard. They will …

Pick: Florida

#4 Michigan (-3) @ #17 WISCONSIN

So Ron Dayne rushes for 200+ yards, and the Badgers still lose to woeful Cincinnati. The same Cincinnati team that just came off a loss to I-AA Troy State the week before. Technically, it was not a bigger upset than Temple last year … but it was mighty close. Michigan looked mortal against Syracuse, and was lucky that the refs stayed paid off like they should have. Wisconsin will be angry this week. Barry Alvarez doesn't always have the best talent to work with, but he is an excellent motivator. There could be an upset this week in Madison

Pick: Wisconsin

#5 Nebraska (-17) @ MISSOURI

Don't be fooled by last week's game. Southern Mississippi has been giving top-25 teams fits for years. They usually don't win, but they almost always come closer than most expect. Having said that, Nebraska is experiencing some real problems on the offensive side of the ball. They'll have to fix that before they get to the meat of their Big Twelve schedule. Missouri, however, is not the meat … more like the salad.

Pick: Nebraska

#6 TEXAS A&M (-11) vs. Southern Mississippi

Remember what I just said about Southern Mississippi? Well, I'm going to go against it. Not a knock on Southern Miss, but aTm has played them in each of the past two years, once in Hattiesburg. The Aggies know what to expect, and will not be taken by surprise. Therefore, they will cover.

Pick: Texas A&M

#7 TENNESSEE (-30) @ Memphis

It's not going to be a whole lot of fun to be a Tiger next Saturday.

Pick: Tennessee

#9 GEORGIA (-28) vs. Central Florida

Doobie doobie doo … Drink Bud Ice, but beware of the penguin.

Pick: Georgia

#10 OHIO STATE (-32) vs. Cincinnati

Ohio State to show Bearcats what real Big Ten football is all about.

Pick:  OSU

#11 PURDUE (-27) vs. Northwestern

One time only, exact final score prediction. Purdue: 63, Northwestern: 6

Pick: Purdue

#13 Miami (FL) (-9) @ EAST CAROLINA

Boy, talk about a good way to destroy your kicker's confidence! I understand Butch was just trying to protect Crossland from LaVar Arrington, but still … it was a pretty dumb move. Things like that are why Miami is not "back" quite yet. East Carolina is 3-0, and could be the 3rd best team in the Big East this year. No matter, if this game even is played, Miami takes it.

Pick: Miami

#14 Arkansas (off) @ ALABAMA

Oops! Young teams with talent can do great things. They can also lose to Louisiana Tech. I'm not sure why there's no line, probably an injury to someone or another. Arkansas wins this, but not by much.

Pick: Arkansas

#15 Kansas State (-16) @ IOWA STATE

Iowa State has quietly gone 3-0 to start the season. That's 3-0 over Indiana State (I-AA), Iowa, and UNLV. Now, they get to play a real team.

Pick: Kansas State

#16 Southern Cal (pick 'em) @ OREGON

PAC-10 Presidents are holding a special meeting this week to discuss the possibility of asking Oregon to roll over and play dead for the good of the entire conference. If Oregon wins this one (at home, a very real possibility), then the PAC-10 is done on the national scene for 1999.

Pick: Oregon

#18 UCLA (-1) @ STANFORD

OK, Arizona just plain sucks this year. Whatever confidence they had as a preseason top-5 team is absolutely shattered. The fact that Stanford beat them really doesn't mean much, and I don't understand why UCLA is only a 1-point favorite. Sure, they've got some starters suspended, and a couple of injuries, but they're a much better team (or should be, at least) than is the Stanford Cardinal.

Pick: UCLA

#19 BRIGHAM YOUNG (-6) vs. Virginia

With a loss here, Virginia likely headed for a 2-9 season.

Pick: Cougs

#20 Texas (-16) @ BAYLOR

Baylor is the soft underbelly of the Big Twelve schedule. As a matter of fact, about the only conference that Baylor could reasonably have a chance of winning in is the Big West. I worry about Texas, however, as they don't appear to be very consistent from week to week.

Pick: Texas

#21 Michigan State (-7) @ ILLINOIS

MSU is playing some really good football early. Illinois is a surprising 3-0 as well, pulling a bit of an upset over Louiseville last weekend. On of these teams is for real, and I'm guessing that they wear green. On the other hand, Michigan State has an almost Syracuse-like ability to blow 2-3 games each year that they shouldn't. Difficult team to pick…

Pick: Michigan State

#22 MARSHALL (-28) vs. Temple

Temple scored their first points of the year (3rd game) against Akron. The mighty Zips scored even more, however, and Temple is now battling it out with Buffalo for the title of National CHUMPion.

Pick: Marshall

#23 MISSISSIPPI STATE (-12) vs. South Carolina

One of these days, South Carolina will score a touchdown. I just don't know when that will be. Lou Holtz looks older and older every week.

Pick: Mississippi State

#24 N.C. State (-5.5) @ WAKE FOREST

Due to upheaval in the top-25, NC State somehow managed to get whipped and still maintain a spot in the rankings. Go figure. Weak Forest put on a typical Demon Deacon performance against Virginia, and will likely lay another egg this week. Gosh … isn't ACC football exciting!

Pick: NCSU

#25 AIR FORCE (-9) vs. Wyoming

Air Force is 2nd in the nation in rushing offense, 14th in total offense, and average 34 points per game while only giving up 17. This is a pretty good team folks, and getting the shaft from the polls again. Wyoming is a pretty good offensive club, but won't have control of the ball often enough to score very many points. The Mountain West moves up in the polls against this week.

Pick: Air Force


Other Big East Games:

SYRACUSE (-11.5) vs. West Virginia

33-0 … ummm, what?!? I can understand Maryland pulling off an upset. That happens. That's what makes college football exciting. But 33-0? Are you kidding me? If WVU couldn't handle the relative quiet of Byrd Stadium, they're going to have big problems with the Jiffy-Pop Dome.

Pick: Syracuse

Boston College (-5) vs. RUTGERS

One of these two teams will likely end up fourth in the Big East, and go to a bowl game. It's a sad day in the Big East when a BC/RUTSgers match-up is this pivotal for the post-season. Boston College has squeaked by a couple of less-than-national powers, but they've won. Rutgers has lost to Cal and to Texas, but not by the gross margins that they would have just a couple short years ago. I can see the Scarlet Knights pulling this one out.

Pick: Rutgers


Game of the Week to Watch:  Not much exciting out there. Michigan-Wisconsin is the only match-up of top-25 teams, so that's my pick.

Upset Special:  Wisconsin over Michigan

Last Week:  4-19

Season to Date:  32-40

Upset Special:  1-3




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