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   Welcome to TSLMail #68 - Friday, February 28, 2003    
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   Tech Sports News

Hokie Football Second in Big East in 2002 Attendance
by Will Stewart, TechSideline.com

After winning the average home attendance title in the Big East in 2001, the Hokies fell to second place this past season, behind the Miami Hurricanes. 2002 marked the fourth year in a row that either Miami or Virginia Tech has won the title.

Big East Football Attendance, 2002 (Sorted by Average)
Team  Capacity Games Total Average Largest Crowd
Miami 72,319 6 417,233 69,539 81,927 vs. Florida State
VT 65,115 8 506,749 63,343 65,097 vs. Virginia
WVU 63,500 6 314,477 52,413 56,817 vs. Miami
Pitt 65,000 7 310,971 44,424 66,731 vs. West Virginia
Syracuse 49,550 6 253,556 42,259 48,239 vs. Virginia Tech
BC 44,500 7 277,112 39,587 42,826 vs. Virginia Tech
Temple 66,592 7 133,536 22,256 33,169 vs. Miami
Rutgers 41,500 6 118,910 19,818 28,514 vs. Army

In the last four years (1999-2002), Miami and VT have alternated winning the average attendance title.

Big East Football
Attendance Champions
Year Team Average
2002 Miami 69,539
2001 VT 53,662
2000 Miami 58,430
1999 VT 52,519
1995-1998 WVU various
1994 Miami various
1993 WVU various
1991-1992 Miami various

When the Hokies won the title in 2001, Miami was all the way back at 4th, with just 47,162 fans per game -- in a year in which they won the national championship. Pitt (48,915) and WVU (48,323) edged out Miami that year.

The recent pattern is for the Canes to win the attendance title in even-numbered years where Florida State plays at Miami, and for the Hokies to win it in the alternating odd-numbered years.

It will be interesting to see if the Hokies, who should again average over 60,000 fans next year, will be able to wrest the title back from Miami in 2003 and hold off possible challenges from Pitt and WVU. The Canes host Florida, ECU, WVU, Temple, Tennessee, Syracuse, and Rutgers. VT hosts UCF, JMU, Texas A&M, UConn, Syracuse, Miami, and Boston College.

The Canes will probably draw no more than 40,000 fans for Temple and Rutgers -- they averaged 35,000 for those two teams in 2001 -- and will probably sell out to the tune of 75,000-80,000 fans for Tennessee and Florida. How well they draw against ECU, WVU, and Syracuse will determine if they can knock the Hokies off in average attendance.

Hey, I figure while the Hokies are shooting for the title on the field, they can shoot for it in the stands, too ...

Calculating the Hokie Women's Chances of Making the Big Dance

The Virginia Tech women's basketball team has taken some hits lately, losing three straight games after building a 17-5 (8-3) record. That puts the women at 17-8 (8-6) overall, which has "NCAA bubble" written all over it.

Will the women make the tourney? A look at last year gives us a clue.

Last year, the Tech women finished horribly. They started out 15-2, then went 3-8 in their last 11 games (including a first-round BE tournament loss). They finished at #35 in the all-important RPI ratings, but because of the poor finish, they did not make the Tournament and had the distinction of being the team with the highest RPI rating to miss out on the NCAA's. They were one of only two teams in the top 44 of the RPI that didn't get to go.

How does this year compare to last year? Here's a quick chart

Year (Record) First 17
Games
After 17
Games
RPI rating RPI Top
25/50 wins
Bad
Losses**
2001-02 (18-10)* 15-2 3-8 35 2/1 2
2002-03 (17-8)* 13-4 4-4 26 1/2 0
* Note: 2002-03 record is through games of Feb. 26th; 2001-02 record includes a first-round BE tournament loss.
** Note: "Bad Loss" is a loss outside the RPI top 100

That chart makes things look good. Tech's finish this year is much stronger, their RPI rating is higher, and they -- to this point -- have no "bad losses" outside the RPI top 100.

The women have two more regular season games, against WVU (RPI 120) and St. John's (RPI 148). The Hokies will take a hit on their strength of schedule, and that alone will drop their rating, win or lose. But if they win both games, they'll be 19-8 (versus 18-10 last year), with a 6-4 finish (versus 3-8 last year) and no losses outside the RPI top 100.

If they then go on to the Big East tournament and win a game, they'll be 20-8, and you can punch their ticket to the NCAA's. If they lose that first-round Big East game, it'll be anyone's guess, because they'll suddenly look a lot like last year's team, from a numbers standpoint.

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-- Will Stewart

   TechSideline.com Updates From the Past Week


Recruiting Profile: Xavier Adibi
by Chris Horne, 2/26/03, 2:15 pm
For prospects across the country, the recruiting process can be a fun, exciting time to gain publicity and, hopefully, end up at the school of their dreams. For blue chip prospects such as Xavier Adibi, the process can be something of a different animal.
in TSL Pass

Naming VT's Top Gun Recruiter
by Will Stewart, TechSideline.com, 2/26/03, 12:30 am
Three years ago, we ran an article about VT's assistant coaches, their recruiting territories, and the players each coach had signed from 1998-2000. In the year 2003, now with twice as much data to work from, we strive to answer the question: Who is Virginia Tech's Top Gun recruiter?
in TSL Pass

 
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