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   Welcome to TSLMail #76 - Friday, April 25, 2003    
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   Tech Sports News

Inside the Numbers: VT's Offensive "Balance"
by Will Stewart, TechSideline.com

Spring football this year featured a constant topic of discussion among Hokie fans: whether or not the Hokies were going to have a more balanced offense this coming season. With two good QBs in Bryan Randall and Marcus Vick, plus talented receivers in Ernest Wilford, and yes, DeAngelo Hall, Hokie fans were wondering if Tech was going to throw the ball more in the 2003 season. Add the maturation of tight end Keith Willis and the loss of Lee Suggs to the NFL, and you've got to wonder if the emphasis will shift to passing a little more than in the past.

What about the past? How balanced of an offense has VT had in their ten-year bowl run? How often do they run, how often do they pass, and what's the yardage split? Let's take a look.

Season Games Attempts Yards
Rush Pass Ratio Rush Pass Ratio
1993 11 586 248 2.36:1 2671 2214 1.20:1
1994 11 474 317 1.49:1 1725 2185 0.79:1
1995 11 469 313 1.50:1 2027 2206 0.92:1
1996 11 517 255 2.03:1 2504 2083 1.20:1
1997 11 548 214 2.56:1 2368 1616 1.47:1
1998 11 514 224 2.29:1 1962 1522 1.29:1
1999 11 559 199 2.81:1 2793 2177 1.28:1
2000 11 570 226 2.52:1 2975 1715 1.73:1
2001 11 502 291 1.73:1 2142 1973 1.09:1
2002 14 659 272 2.42:1 2974 2229 1.33:1
Totals 113 5398 2559 2.11:1 24,141 19,920 1.21:1

So over the ten-year bowl run, the Hokies have run almost 68% of the time. This is not a surprise, because we all knew that the figured hovered around 70%.

The shaded rows represent the years in which the same QB started. Maurice DeShazo started in 1993-94, Jim Druckenmiller in 1995-96, etc. If you break it down by QB, you get:

QB Season(s) Attempts Yards
Rush Pass Ratio Rush Pass Ratio
DeShazo 1993-94  1060 565 1.88:1 4396 4399 1:1
Druckenmiller 1995-96 986 568 1.74:1 4531 4289 1.06:1
Clark 1997-98 1062 438 2.42:1 4330 3138 1.38:1
Vick 1999-2000 1129 425 2.66:1 5768 3892 1.48:1
Noel 2001 502 291 1.73:1 2142 1973 1.09:1
Randall 2002 659 272 2.42:1 2974 2229 1.33:1
Totals:   5398 2559 2.11:1 24,141 19,920 1.21:1

The figures show that VT had their most balanced offenses, in terms of attempts and yardage, under Maurice DeShazo, Jim Druckenmiller, and Grant Noel. Under DeShazo and Druckenmiller, while Hokie fans did criticize the play-calling, they never really criticized the balance of the offense. Tech's running and passing games were both potent under both QBs.

Beginning in 1997, under Al Clark, he of the gimpy legs and not-so-accurate arm, the Hokies started to favor the run. In addition to Clark not being as accurate as DeShazo and Druck, he didn't have much talent to work with at receiver, and what little he did have was usually wiped out by injury (Shawn Scales, most notably, spent almost the entire 1997 season hurt).

The Hokies started relying heavily on the run in 1997-98, and the run:pass ratios swung way out of balance.

Under Michael Vick, the Hokies had one of their most potent run/pass attacks ever, but oddly enough, the run:pass ratios got more skewed under Vick than any other quarterback. There were two reasons for this: (1) Vick's duel-threat capability opened up the running game, and the Hokies relied on it; and (2) Vick himself ran a lot, often bailing out of the pocket for big yardage and thus turning passes into runs. Vick netted 1,212 yards rushing in two years, way more than VT's two other running QB's, DeShazo (68 net yards rushing in two years -- surprised?) and Clark (412 net yards rushing in two years).

In 2001, the offense under Grant Noel returned to the balance of the DeShazo and Druckenmiller years, but one wonders what the numbers would have been had Lee Suggs been healthy.

In 2002, under Bryan Randall, Hokie fans harped about a dependence upon the run, and the numbers support that, with the ratios looking positive Al Clark-like. An interesting academic exercise is to remove Randall's monster Syracuse game (35 passing attempts, 504 yards passing, 25 rushing attempts, 55 yards rushing) from the 2002 totals. You get an attempts ratio for the year of 2.68:1 and a yardage ratio of 1.69:1, each of which is the second-biggest ratio in ten years.

We'll keep an eye on the run:pass ratios this coming season and compare them to the historical data found here to see how VT's 2003 offense compares to other offenses during the Beamer bowl era.

If you like this kind of number-crunching analysis, we do it all the time in our TechSideline Pass "Inside the Numbers" articles. If you're not a subscriber, check the info just below to find out how to sign up.

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As an additional bonus, all subscribers will receive a 10% discount on all purchases made at Techlocker.com, our online store providing Hokie-related apparel and gift items. If that's not enough, you should know that your subscription will help support your favorite website, TechSideline.com.

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-- Will Stewart

   TechSideline.com Updates From the Past Week


ACC Expansion
by TechSideline.com, 4/24/03, 1:35 pm
With all the talk of ACC expansion, we've been asked to provide some thoughts and commentary. We bring you two articles that weigh in on this riveting topic.
Conference Realignment Season - by Jim Alderson
The Dynamics of ACC Expansion - by Will Stewart

Spring Game Photo Gallery
by TechSideline.com, 4/22/03, 11:05 pm
TechSideline.com had their ace photographer in the house for the 2003 Spring Game this past weekend, and out of the dozens upon dozens of photos that he took, we plucked what we think are the 44 best and posted them for your enjoyment.
in TSL Pass

Spring Football Wrap-Up
by Jeff Ouellet, 4/21/03, 11:00 pm
Another spring has come and gone with 30,000 or so Hokies visiting Lane Stadium to see the Maroon-White scrimmage. In particular, the Hokies that I spoke with were wondering two things: (1) just how good is Marcus Vick? and (2) just how good is DeAngelo Hall at receiver?
in TSL Pass

Spring Game: White 14, Maroon 3
by Will Stewart, TechSideline.com, 4/20/03, 12:20 am
Blacksburg - In a much-anticipated battle of the QBs, both played well, and Marcus Vick's White team knocked off Bryan Randall's Maroon team in Virginia Tech's 2003 Spring Game, 14-3.
in Football

 
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