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TSLMail #370- February 27, 2009 |
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Statistically Speaking, Hokies are Right Where they Should Be by Chris Coleman, TechSideline.com With just three games remaining in the regular season, Virginia Tech sits in the middle of the pack in the ACC standings. It's unknown how many wins it will take to get the Hokies into the NCAA tournament, but it will definitely take at least one. Statistically speaking, Virginia Tech is sitting about where they should be in the ACC standings. When you take 10 important team statistical categories and average the rankings for each team, the Hokies are in the middle of the pack. The categories are: field goal percentage, field goal percentage defense, three-point percentage, three-point percentage defense, free throw percentage, rebounding margin, turnover margin, assists/turnover ratio, scoring offense and scoring defense. Virginia Tech's averages 6.7 when you run their rankings in those 10 categories.
For the most part, teams are very close in the actual standings to their statistical ranking. In fact, UNC, Duke and Wake Forest sit 1-3 in the statistical rankings, and they rank 1-3 in the actual standings. Clemson is tied with Wake Forest for third in the conference, and their statistical ranking is fourth in the conference, just behind Wake. Florida State is the most overachieving team in the ACC, when you compare actual standings to stats rankings. The 'Noles are middle-of-the-pack statistically, but they are tied with Clemson and Wake Forest for third place in the standings. Leonard Hamilton is a strong candidate for ACC Coach of the Year. However, with three games remaining, the 'Noles could still finish in the middle of the conference standings. Gary Williams of Maryland should perhaps be the top candidate for ACC Coach of the Year, depending on how the Terps finish. Statistically, Maryland is a very bad basketball team. They are at the bottom of the conference, along with Georgia Tech and Virginia, who have combined for just four ACC wins. The Terps are even a good distance behind NC State, statistically. Despite all of that, Maryland is a bubble team that still stands an outside shot of making the NCAA tournament. Gary Williams knows how to get wins, even if his team looks ugly doing it. The team that has struggled the most is Miami. The 'Canes are middle-of-the-pack in the statistics, tied with Florida State, and ahead of Virginia Tech. However, they are just 6-8 in ACC play. The difference in being ninth in the ACC (Miami) and third (Florida State) is close games. Miami has lost three ACC overtime games, and two others by five points or less. Meanwhile, Florida State has won an overtime game against Maryland, and three other games by four points or less. The 'Noles have been more successful in close games than Miami. Virginia Tech is eighth in the conference statistically, and they rank seventh in the actual standings. They are a full game ahead of the Maryland Terrapins. The Hokies' field goal percentage has been slipping a bit lately, but their field goal percentage defense has been getting better. As usual, Tech is in the top half of the conference in turnover margin. Each team in the ACC has two or three games remaining, so those rankings still have a chance to change. However, they are a pretty good indicator of how things are going to shake out.
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