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Williams on Record Breaking Pace
by Chris Coleman, TechSideline.com, TSLMail #406, November 6, 2009

Ryan Williams continued his phenomenal freshman season last night by rushing for a career-high 179 yards in the 16-3 win at East Carolina. Williams surpassed the 1,000 yard mark for the season, the second year in a row in which a Virginia Tech freshman running back has reached that magic number.

With Williams reaching 1,000 yards, Virginia Tech became just the third school in 1-A history to produce freshmen 1,000 yard rushers in back-to-back seasons. Darren Evans preceded Williams by running for 1,265 yards last season. The other schools are TCU (Lonta Hobbs in 2002 and Robert Merrill in 2003) and Nevada (Chance Kretschmer in 2001 and Matt Milton in 2002).

Williams is on the verge of breaking a couple of freshman rushing records at Tech. Two more touchdown runs will break Darren Evans' freshman mark of 11 rushing touchdowns. Evans also has the freshman record for rushing yards with 1,265, and Williams should have no trouble breaking that in the next couple of games.

With three games left in the regular season, plus the bowl, Williams also has an excellent chance to finish near the top of Virginia Tech's single season list. He has already had the 11th best single season in Tech history.

VT's Best Single Season Rushing Marks
Player Year Yards

Kevin Jones

2003 1,647

Cyrus Lawrence

1981 1,403

Lee Suggs

2002 1,325

Darren Evans

2008 1,265

Cyrus Lawrence

1980 1,221

Lee Suggs

2000 1,207

Branden Ore

2006 1,137

Dwayne Thomas

1993 1,130

Roscoe Coles

1976 1,119

Shyrone Stith

1999 1,119

Ryan Williams

2009 1,109

 

With his current average of 123 yards per game multiplied by four (three regular season games, plus the bowl), Williams will add 492 yards to his already impressive rushing total by the end of the season. That would give him a total of 1,601 yards at the end of his freshman season. That would be the second best single-season mark in Virginia Tech history, only behind Kevin Jones' 1,647 yards in 2003.

How much of a chance does Williams have to break that record? Let's take a quick look at the rushing defenses that he'll be facing in the last three weeks of the regular season.

Opponents' Rushing Defense
Team YPG ACC 
Rank
National
 Rank

Maryland

141.38 8 62

NC State

118.5 3 42

Virginia

154 10 77

Average

137.96 7 60.33

 

Williams won't be facing any outstanding rushing defense from here on out. Even NC State, which has decent defensive stats, isn't as good as the numbers indicate. Their stats were padded by facing two 1-AA opponents early in the season. They have had injuries in the front seven, and they were shredded on the ground in their most recent game against Florida State.

If Williams continues to average 123 yards per game for the remainder of the season, he will finish the regular season with 1,478 yards. That would make him just the third player in school history to run for over 1,400 yards in a single season, and he's still have the bowl game remaining to pad his stats.

It's still much too early to try and project the career of Ryan Williams. Darren Evans will be back next season, and the two will have to share carries. There could be injuries. Or Williams could leave early for the NFL at some point. But he is in the middle of having one of the best seasons in school history. There's only one thing for us to do at this point: sit back and watch the yardage pile up.

 

 

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