After a nice break, the Hokies get back to work with a Thursday night game on
the road at Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets started the season slowly, but they
have begun to hit their stride behind the play of an outstanding defense. This
will be just the second road game of the season for the Hokies and the first
where the vast majority of the fans will be cheering against them. Home crowds
are generally at their best for Thursday night prime time games and the same can
be expected from the Jacket fans this week. Without a doubt, a serious challenge
awaits the Hokies in Atlanta. Although the Hokies have battled two teams ranked
in the Top 10, the breakdown tells me that this game may be their toughest of
the season so far.
These two Techs have head coaches that share the same philosophy – run the
ball, control the clock, play aggressive defense and win the special teams
battles. I see this as a field position game that will be dictated by defense,
so a turnover or a big play on special teams could be the deciding factor. The
Jackets are vulnerable on kick coverage, so don’t be surprised to see Mike
Imoh or Eddie Royal bringing kickoffs deep out of the end zone. Also look for
the Hokies to go after a punt or two to try to turn around field position with
one play. On the other side, the Hokies cannot afford to give away field
position, so they need Vinnie Burns to perform more consistently than he has the
past few games.
On paper, these two teams look to be evenly matched. As I look at it, I think
Georgia Tech may have a few more playmakers and Virginia Tech may have a bit
more speed. I really like some of the matchups in this game, such as VT’s
fifth year senior CB Eric Green against GT’s true freshman phenom WR Calvin
Johnson or GT’s all-everything DE Eric Henderson against VT’s best pass
blocker, OT Jimmy Martin.
In the end, for the Hokies, this game likely comes down to how well the
Hokies senior QB Bryan Randall executes on the road against a defense that will
show many of the same pressure looks that he saw from the NC State blitzkrieg
four games ago. Let’s break down the other key factors to look for on both
sides of the ball….
When the Hokies are on Defense
The Georgia Tech offense has good talent, but they have been plagued by
inconsistency. In this game, their plan will be to establish the run first with
TB P.J. Daniels. From there, they will put the ball in the hands of QB Reggie
Ball to either use his legs to get to the edge or his arm to get the ball down
the field to a nice collection of WR talent, led by the 6’4” true freshman
Calvin Johnson. Ball is an elusive runner with good speed and he has a strong
arm, but he is a streaky player that is prone to making mistakes. Johnson is a
star in the making that already knows how to use body control and superior
leaping ability to catch tough passes in coverage. Having played Georgia Tech
earlier this year, Miami’s Larry Coker compared Johnson to ex-Pitt WR Larry
Fitzgerald. Watch out for those fade routes!
Key #1: Stuff the run; force Ball to win the game
This will be tough because P.J. Daniels is the ACC’s leading rusher again
this year. He’s a former walk-on that plays hard on every down. Georgia Tech
likes to run slants up front and have Daniels cut in behind the flow. To get
control of the line of scrimmage, look for the Hokies to play a lot of 8-man
fronts with aggressive pursuit up the field and down the line to close off the
cutback lanes. Weak side, I expect wide alignments along the defensive front
with the two linebackers shaded to the outside gaps. This will provide
containment against Ball and the bootleg, while closing down any cutback lanes
for Daniels. The presence of Darryl Tapp combined with the various run blitzes
inside should minimize any double team blocks against Jonathan Lewis and Jim
Davis. Penetration by the defensive tackles, run blitzes inside and aggressive
pursuit from the outside will make it very difficult for Daniels and the GT
running game.
With the aggressive fronts, the Hokies will also show a lot of man coverage
in the secondary. Game tape will tell the Jackets offensive coaches that the
Hokies are vulnerable to play action, so look for that early off the run game.
Knowing that and knowing Ball has a strong arm, look for the Hokies to be more
conservative in their coverages, giving up the underneath short stuff to protect
against the long pass. The GT offense has shown the tendency to make mistakes if
they have to drive the ball down the field, so look for the Hokies to test Ball’s
patience by giving him the shorter passes.
Key #2: Red Zone against Calvin Johnson
Georgia Tech likes to get Johnson lined up to the wide side of the field,
using a slot receiver to run off any inside help coverage. The pressure will be
on Eric Green on the fades and jump ball routes that GT likes to run with
Johnson. He’s just a true freshman, but Johnson will be Green’s toughest
challenge of the season so far. Ball and the GT coaches have a lot of confidence
in Johnson, particularly in the red zone, so look for passes to go his way even
when he is tightly covered.
The Jackets love for the fade routes may give the Hokies some big play
opportunities. If Ball sees single coverage with press man outside, he will
check to the fade route, even from 20+ yards out. Look for the Hokies to try to
dupe Ball into these checks by shading the safety away and showing press man
initially, and then dropping out into soft man or a variation of a 3-deep zone
late in the snap count.
Key #3: Pressure and Containment
Reggie Ball is a more accurate passer when he can set up strong in the
pocket, so the Hokies will want to make him throw on the run. It seems obvious
that they will want to bring a lot of pressure in passing situations, but they
can’t allow Ball to start running downhill with man coverage down the field.
He is the Jackets' second best run option, so the Hokies will have to think
containment against him. One alternative is to turn the tables and mix in zone
pressures. Zone blitzes have several advantages, including the ability to bring
varying amounts of pressure while the zone coverages provide natural containment
against a scrambling QB. Bud Foster doesn’t call for zone pressure as much as
some other teams, including Georgia Tech, but he has them in his arsenal and
they have been a productive option for the Hokie defense in the past.
Bringing various types of pressure will allow the Hokies to mix defenses and
hide coverages better while Ball is going through his pre-snap reads. Ball is
still a young QB that is prone to mistakes, so the Hokies will want to make him
think by mixing pressure looks with different man and zone coverages. The
defense also wants Ball and his receivers to sight adjust when they read
pressure with the intent of forcing a mistake that could lead to a big play. We
might see more of the “robber” coverages; with Vinnie Fuller patrolling the
middle and jumping hot routes. Any or all of these variations are possible as
the Hokies defense works to force mistakes from the Georgia Tech offense.
Key #4: Remember practice
In many ways, the GT offense is similar to the VT offense – mobile QB, run
game first, take shots down the field, mix in some option, and then throw in a
QB draw a time or two. The Hokie defense sees a similar offense everyday in
practice, so many of the formations, tendencies, and blocking schemes will be
very familiar to them. The Hokies will need to stay disciplined against the
tendencies and not get suckered by misdirection or trick plays. Georgia Tech has
the halfback pass in their arsenal and starting WR Damarius Bilbo was a backup
QB for two years before moving to WR last year.
Look for the Jackets to run some option when they see the Hokie defense in an
8-man front. Good execution of the dive or speed option can put a lot of
pressure on an 8-man front defense, although I think the Hokies' speed on
defense will prove to be too tough to handle. Again, the defense sees the option
everyday in practice, so they should be well prepared if and when Georgia Tech
goes to it.
Key #5: Linebacker rotation
Hokies everywhere are looking forward the return of Xavier Adibi. Getting him
back for the tough home stretch is a key because he gives the defense more
options to match up against the diverse offenses the Hokies will see over the
next six weeks. How much he plays in this game is still an unknown, but I’ll
guess that he will get on the field after a few series and get 15-20 total snaps
on defense. He may get some time on special teams as well.
With Blake Warren nursing a sore toe, we could see a 3-man rotation at the
inside linebacker spots, with Vince Hall at Mike, Xavier Adibi at Backer, and
Mikal Baaqee getting snaps at both. I think Adibi’s biggest impact will come a
couple of games down the road once he gets back in the total flow of things, but
I’ll be looking for his speed to get noticed in this game, both against the
run and the pass. Since they haven’t seen much of him on film, I think his
speed will surprise the Jackets a bit when he’s in there. Watch Adibi in
pursuit backside when the Jackets run Ball or Daniels to the boundary. He has
the speed to chase either of them down from behind.
Bottom line, Adibi isn’t back in prime football shape just yet, so his
plays will be limited in this game. When he’s in there, I think Bud Foster
will run looks that allow Adibi to work more in space and minimize his chances
of getting caught up in traffic too often. Getting him in there will be
particularly advantageous on passing downs where the Hokies can use Adibi at
Backer and Baaqee at the Mike spot. That is the Hokies' best pass defense
combination at inside LB, particularly when they play zone coverages.
When the Hokies are on Offense
One month ago, the Virginia Tech offense ran into a buzz saw known as the NC
State zone blitz. Thursday night, the Hokies get a shot at redemption when they
face the zone blitz schemes of Georgia Tech. Having watched that NC State game
film, there is no doubt that Georgia Tech will bring blitz after blitz, right
from the first snap to see if the Hokies have figured out how to deal with the
various pressure looks.
Unfortunately for the Hokies, the Georgia Tech defense has been playing its
best ball since the return of star DE Eric Henderson three weeks ago. With only
two sacks in their first three games, the Jackets have had 17 sacks in the last
three. Strongside linebacker Chris Reis has been making plays all over the field
since Henderson’s return. Reis isn’t very big and he isn’t particularly
fast, but he is the type of player that is always around the ball making plays.
It is safe to assume that the Hokies have put specific things in the game plan
to deal with Reis. Still, look for Reis to be very active and a disruptive force
the entire game.
Their other star defender is James Butler, a big, physical safety that will
be keeping his eyes on Bryan Randall most of the night. He’s another of
Georgia Tech’s all-ACC performers and the Hokie offense will have to account
for him in the passing game, particularly to the middle of the field.
This defense will be a huge challenge for the Hokies in this game, so it will
be critically important for the offense to stay patient and poised, make few
mistakes, and not get behind the chains.
Key #1: Protections
Hopefully, the Hokies' offensive coaches and players got a good look at how
Miami handled the NC State blitzes last Saturday night. Most of the time, Miami
chose to max protect and get the ball down the field using only two man routes.
The key was the execution of those max protect schemes. Their two backs did a
great job picking up State’s two-level inside stack blitzes with one back
attacking the first blitz and the second back “catching” the stack blitz
behind it.
The Hokies' vertical passing game isn’t on the same level as the Miami
Hurricanes, so the game plan against Georgia Tech can’t be as one-dimensional.
Look for the Hokies to mix it up by going up top with max protect on occasion,
but expect to see more sight adjust and quick passes on hot routes. It will be
critical for Bryan Randall to read the blitzes correctly, adjust the protections
as needed, and to be in synch with his wide receivers. If he reads zone blitz,
then he should check into a run play or adjust protections and hit a soft area
in the zone. If he reads man blitz, then he should sight adjust with a wide
receiver on a hot route.
To be successful, this whole operation will have to show significant
improvement over the NC State game, because they are going to see a lot of the
same looks. Most importantly, Randall cannot afford to be hesitant against this
type of pressure. He has to be willing to get rid of the ball, throw it to a
spot, and have confidence that his receivers will be there to catch it. That
hasn’t been a natural reflex for him, which is why I believe we will see
varying protections with more quick passes against the Jackets non-stop
pressure.
One additional note -- Georgia Tech runs various zone blitz techniques, some
of which involve Eric Henderson dropping back into underneath coverage from his
normal 3-point stance at defensive end. He has a tendency to tip his drops by
how he shifts his weight while in the 3-point stance. This was particularly
evident in the Duke game, although the Blue Devils were not able to take
advantage of it. Look for Bryan Randall to keep an eye on Henderson pre-snap to
see if he his tipping off a particular zone blitz. If so, a quick hand signal in
conjunction with a single verbal call at the line could get the Hokies into a
very successful play.
Key #2: Running against zone pressures
The running game has struggled for much of the year and Georgia Tech has been
very stingy against the run the last two games. Creating seams for Imoh,
Hamilton, and Humes will be a tough challenge for an offensive line that has had
trouble against quicker fronts. Jason Murphy quickens up the left guard position
a bit, but overall, quickness and athleticism remain a concern along the
offensive line. Look for Chris Reis to be run blitzing constantly from the
strongside, and at times, it will be the job of the Hokies weakside guard to get
out there quickly with a kick-out block to prevent Reis from blowing up the
play. That will be a tough assignment for the Hokies guards and if they can’t
do it, then the Hokies will have to adjust and go away from some things they
want to do up front.
Georgia Tech likes to slant their line and bring controlled pressure from the
other side. The Hokies have to decide how to attack that – should they run at
the slants or at the pressure? One thing to look for is misdirection off the
option game similar to what we saw against USC. The misdirection comes by
running away from the slant and towards the pressure. One variant of that, like
we saw against USC, is to run a misdirection speed option by sending the
tailback into the slant and running the option with Randall and a reversing wide
receiver against the flow. We could also see misdirection from an option into
the direction of the slant with the pitch going to the WR on a reverse. Any of
these variants will slow down the pursuit behind the slanting line which should
create seams for the tailback as the game develops.
Look for the Hokies to use a lot of 2-TE formations again in this game, both
straight-up to balance the formation as well as using Jeff King in an H-back
role where he can motion across, step back as a fullback or pull for a trap
block behind the line slants. His pass catching has been big this year, but he
may be more vital to the success of the run game. Whichever role he has on any
particular play, he needs to execute because many running plays key off his
blocks.
Key #3: Timing, recognition, and execution
The Hokie offense has to fight for everything they get, so they must be in
synch as a unit to have any chance at success in this game. They cannot afford
to get themselves in long yardage situations against this type of defense in
their home stadium.
Early on, look for a fairly conservative approach with an emphasis on getting
the ground game established. We could see some planned runs to the edges early
from Bryan Randall in order to force the Georgia Tech defense to account for him
more in run-tendency formations. This would open up some space for the offense
to work some things with the tailbacks between the tackles.
We should see evidence of the quick passing game early on as well, driven
either by down/distance or by Randall’s reads of pressure and subsequent
checks at the line of scrimmage. Hopefully, Randall and the freshmen WR’s will
be on the same page in this game with their sight adjusts to hot routes. As the
game develops, look for the offense to open things up a little more, using play
action to take some shots down the field (hopefully, with good execution of max
protection).
The other key here is maximizing Bryan Randall’s ability to recognize what
the defense is doing from play to play. There is a trend in college football to
have QB’s look over to the sideline to get real-time adjustments from the
coaches in the booth based on how the defense is set. The theory is that the
coaches in the booth can see what the defense is doing better than the QB on the
field, so there is a system to get adjustments signaled in after the defense has
already set up. The Hokies haven’t gone to this approach as of yet and it’s
unlikely they would start doing so this late into a season. Instead, look for an
adjustment to the pre-snap operation to give Bryan Randall more time to read the
defense and make the proper checks and protection calls. One adjustment is to
simplify the process of signaling plays in from the sideline. Look for that to
be more streamlined by having Randall go to his wristband more often. That will
get them to the line quicker and give Randall more time to survey the defense.
It will also give him more time to vary the snap count, which is so important
against an aggressive, blitzing defense on the road.
Key #4: Success on first down
This is one of those keys that is important in every game, but I point it out
here specifically because the Hokie offense is going to be in all sorts of
trouble if they struggle constantly on first down against this Georgia Tech
defense. Over the years, we’ve seen what the Hokie defense can do to an
offense that lacks big play ability and is misfiring on first downs. This year’s
Georgia Tech defense has that same ability.
The objective will be to average four to five yards on first down, which is a
significant challenge for the Hokie offense against the Jackets defense. This
defense isn’t as fast as it is quick, but that quickness is a tough matchup
for the Hokies' offensive line. It will be critical for the offensive line to
neutralize the Georgia Tech defensive tackles on first down and not let them get
penetration against the ground game.
Clemson, UNC and Miami all had success running the ball against the Jackets
on first down, but Maryland and Duke couldn’t run on them at all. Eric
Henderson’s return has had something to do with that because of the attention
he commands along the line of scrimmage. Look for the Hokies to line up in 2-TE
formations, play physical and run directly at Henderson and the rest of GT’s
defensive front behind power zone blocking. I believe the Hokies will be more
successful with their straight-ahead running attack, so look for a lot of
north/south, power rushes on first down running plays. This could be a game for
Cedric Humes to make a statement, so look for the Hokies to try to get him
established early.
Key #5: Play the field position game
Yeah, I know conservative football is boring, but many times it’s the smart
thing to do. The Hokie offense knows that they are in for a long, hard night
against the Georgia Tech defense, so they cannot afford to give up anything
cheap. As Bryan Stinespring likes to say, his job as the offensive coordinator
is to make sure that he does what is necessary to win the game. Sometimes, that
means doing things that do not put the Hokies defense in a bad situation. Both
offenses know that the defenses are the strength of their respective teams, so
the top priority will be to protect field position.
Expect to see conservative plays on both sides when the down/distance and
field position favors the defense. For the Hokies, these are the situations when
it’s smart for Bryan Randall to throw the ball away, or pull it down and use
his legs, or even take a sack. The game plan will be to protect the ball,
protect field position, and take advantage of the opportunities when they
present themselves.
Conclusions
Offensively, the coaches would love nothing more than to physically take
control of the line of scrimmage, establish the power run game behind an Imoh/Humes
rotation, and pound the Jackets defense for five yards at a pop. That is easier
said than done and the Hokies really haven’t done it consistently this year,
but that’s where they need to get to make something good happen in these five
tough games down the stretch, starting with Georgia Tech.
Defensively, the coaches want to come out and dictate the action from the
very first snap. Stopping P.J. Daniels and the running game is the #1 priority,
so the defensive line must continue its outstanding play. From there, I think
the defense will try to bait the Georgia Tech offense into certain things and
then look to get a big play out of it.
I see this as another close, tough game that will be decided in the fourth
quarter. I think the difference will come down to Reggie Ball and Georgia Tech’s
offense making a few too many mistakes against the Virginia Tech defense. Hokies
everywhere are hoping to see the erratic, mistake-prone Reggie Ball and not the
dynamic run/pass threat that is very hard to stop when he gets on a hot streak.
If we see that guy on Thursday night, then it’s going to be a long,
frustrating game that could get away from the Hokies quickly.
Special teams could also be the difference in this game. That aspect of the
game bodes well for the Hokies as they should have the advantage across the
board. I have a hunch that we will see a big play from the Hokies' special teams
in this game – either a blocked kick or a big return on a punt or kickoff. I’m
sure the Hokies will take either one.
Look for the post-game follow-up on Sunday.
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